GSW -3.5 for 3 units. GSW will run the Portland out of the building tonight.

ytd: 8-13
-5.67 units
leans: 10-5

Thursday February 12, 2009

Play: Celtics -1 1st Q(3 units)
**Play: Warriors -1 1st Q(7 units)**
Play: Blazers +1 2nd quarter(5 units)

Can’t stress how hot the warriors are right now at home. they could easily be 11-0 in their last 11 at home, if it werent for 3 buzzer beaters in that span. they keep getting off to great starts, then they let up a little in 2nd quarter. i follow the warriors real close, i expect them to come out real hot, be up by at least 5 or 6 after 1, then lose the 2nd quarter

Houston is basically 100% healthy with the big 3 and Battier. The Bucs are missing 3 starters tonight…Red, Bogut and Ridnor.

The last time these teams met, granted it was in Houston but those 3 guys did play and Houston won by 4. (even with McGrady shotting 35% from the field and no Battier)

I see this line dropping now at -6 and -5.5 in some places.

I have a big play (parlay) with Houston -2.5 (bought down) and Pitt (CBB) moneyline. Should I be worried?

Think Houston should win this game worst case and I don’t see how the Bucs can stop Yao, McGrady and Artest at full streinght with those injuries.

HOU’s past 12 road games:

02/04/09 @ Memphis L 93-104
01/26/09 @ New York L 98-104
01/25/09 @ Detroit W 108-105
01/23/09 @ Indiana L 102-107
01/09/09 @ Oklahoma City W 98-96
01/07/09 @ Boston W 89-85
01/06/09 @ Philadelphia L 96-104
01/03/09 @ Atlanta L 100-103
01/02/09 @ Toronto L 73-94
12/26/08 @ New Orleans L 79-88
12/23/08 @ Cleveland L 90-99